Trump s Islamic Republic Of Iran Run Reminds Close To Of Run-up To Republic Of Iraq War

By Robert Penn Warren Strobel

t00ls.netWASHINGTON, Crataegus laevigata 10 (Reuters) - Fifteen age later on invading Iraq complete weapons of quite a little wipeout and ties to al Al-Qaida that both proved non-existent, the Cooperative States is again guidance toward a potential encounter with a In-between Eastern United States office for suspected influence on organelle weapons and stick out for terrorism.

U.S. President of the United States Donald Trump's Iran insurance policy sounds hauntingly fellow to approximately current and former U.S. officials WHO witnessed the buildup to the Marching music 2003 intrusion of Iraq, where sectarist and heathenish fractures and some 5,000 U.S. soldiery quieten stay.

More than 4,400 U.S. military personnel and hundreds of thousands of Iraqis died in the conflict, which many analysts get known as unity of the Major U.S. alien policy debacles of modern font times.

"There are disturbing and eerie similarities" in the abuse of intelligence operation then and now, aforesaid Paul the Apostle Pillar, who was the crest U.S. word psychoanalyst for the Centre Eastward from 2001 to 2005.

"The basic thing that is going on is a highly tendentious, cherry-picked, 'we know what the conclusion is'" enjoyment of intelligence, Column aforesaid.

Trump on Tues withdrew the United States from a six-land correspondence with Tehran that limits Iran's cell organelle ferment in rejoin for alleviation from economic sanctions.

The President of the United States supercharged that the deal, negotiated under his Advocator predecessor, Barack Obama, did not destination Iran's ballistic missile program, its center activities beyond 2025 or its use in conflicts in Republic of Yemen and Syria.

Trump made no cite of assessments by the U.S. intelligence profession and the United Nations' International Nuclear DOE Agency, which has organelle inspectors in Iran, that Tehran is complying with the 2015 great deal.

Instead, he cited a stash of Iranian documents made public by Yisrael on Apr 30 that he aforementioned showed Iran's leaders lied when they denied of all time pursuing a organelle weapons plan.

While the documents' legitimacy has non been challenged by Western sandwich governments and intelligence activity experts, critics aforesaid they added brief to late assessments that over that Iran mothballed its crusade to recrudesce cell organelle weapons in 2003. Iran called Israel's allegations "childish and ridiculous."

Beginning short later on the Kinfolk. 11, 2001, attacks on the United States, Chair St. George W. Bush and elevation Aidoneus made the showcase for invasive Irak by citing intelligence activity that Iraqi President Husayn Saddam Hussein had ties to al Base and was on the QT developing nuclear, chemical substance and biologic weapons.

Both claims were proven put on. President Bush and his aides had inflated the useable intelligence, relied on dubitable claims from Asian country exiles and ignored at odds information. On close to points, the CIA and its Sister news agencies were scarce awry.

WHY Persia IS NOT IRAQ

U.S. officials, as advantageously as analysts in Washington and the Halfway East, cautioned that at that place were Francis Scott Key differences betwixt Bush's Republic of Iraq insurance policy and Trump's approaching to Iran.

While Trump's motion on Tuesday ratcheted up regional tensions and widened a rift with U.S. allies in Europe, no unmatchable is predicting an American encroachment of Islamic Republic of Iran.

"The question is are we facing the same scenario that happened in Iraq with regards to the WMD, and will the region be dragged to war?" aforesaid Faysal Abdul Sater, a Asian country analyst close to the Iranian-backed grouping Islamic Jihad for the Liberation of Palestine.

"In my view, the situation is different, even if the degree of hostility has increased" 'tween Disconnection countries and Israel on unitary hired man and Iran on the other, Sater said. "As for a direct attack on Iran, it is unlikely because it would lead by necessity to a comprehensive war that none of the parties could bear."

Mark Dubowitz, chief administrator of the Introduction for Defense reaction of Democracies remember tank, said the war in Iraq resulted partially from a sensing that economic sanctions on Saddam, imposed after his 1990 encroachment of Kuwait, were quickly losing effectuality.

"I think the opposite is true now," Dubowitz said, noting that Horn appeared to party favor tougher economical blackjack on Iran, not field of study legal action.

Despite the unlike tools, two U.S. officials associate with Iran policy aforementioned they believed Trump's ultimate destination in Islamic Republic of Iran was standardized to the George Walker Bush administration's in Iraq: replacing an anti-Ground politics with a friendly one and only.

But if the Bush administration's feeling that grateful Iraqis would recognize invasive U.S. soldiery with flowers was fanciful, it is "at least equally naive" to conceive that "democracy will take root in Iran" if the Islamic Commonwealth collapses, unrivaled of the officials said.

Neither Trump nor his militant Modern home protection adviser, St. John Bolton, has in public called in Recent days for the reverse of Iran's theocracy.

Two flow and nonpareil sometime U.S. functionary aforementioned America's intelligence activity agencies were not being pressured to offer bear witness to livelihood the White House's insurance policy simply alternatively were existence neglected.

Retired World-wide Michael Hayden, a former manager of both the CIA and the Subject Surety Agency, named it "remarkable" that Cornet made no citation of U.S. word assessments in his spoken communication announcing secession from the Iran take.

Trump's music director of interior intelligence, Dan Coats, told US Congress in February that the Iran plenty had elongated the quantity of sentence Iran would pauperism to bring forth fissile substantial for a organelle weapon and enhanced the transparentness of Iran's organelle activities.

"It's not that they're being leaned on to provide justifications," Hayden said of U.S. intelligence operation analysts. Best "neither needs nor wants justification."

(Reportage by Warren Strobel; Additional reportage by Whoremaster Walcott in Washington, Laila Bassam in Beirut and Dan Tennessee Williams in Jerusalem; Redaction by Lav Walcott and St. Peter Cooney)

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